I have not entirely avoided the whole government shut down thing, I have skirted the topic on Facebook and here. While I am a believer and a supporter of a functioning government, I think this needed to happen. Our government has been seriously broken for some time now. We can argue about when it became broken and who broke it, but I think we can all agree that it is broken. Personally, I think our government went down on December 12th 2000 when the Supreme Court of the United States handed the Presidency to George W. Bush and never got back up. All of that aside, we have been headed to this moment since January 20th 2009.
The government has been in a partial shut down for several days now as we passed the first bump of failing to get a budget passed and the second bump of raising the debt ceiling. The expectation is by November we, as a country will have to decide who gets paid, China, senior citizens or soldiers, because we won’t be able to pay everyone. Certainly incoming tax money will cover most of our bills, but not all of them. We are at this point because the Speaker of the House, Representative Boehner refused to allow a vote in the house on a clean budget, no budget bill with de-funding of Obamacare language can make it through the Senate and even if it did, President Obama would veto it. So here we are.
As I see it, the Republicans are going to loose this battle. Recent poll numbers are showing independent voters are siding with the President and the Democratic party on this issue. Further, the approval rating of the Republicans party has fallen to an all time low, even among other Republicans. It is said in politics, if you are explaining, you are loosing. I see an awful lot of Republicans appearing on TV trying to explain their position, while the President and the Democratic Party have only to say “We do not negotiate with terrorists”. In short, the Republicans are taking the blame for this. The President has nothing to loose here. If the Republicans blink, he wins, if they don’t and hold fast, it gives the Democratic Party a weapon to use against the Republicans next year in the mid-term elections.
Representative Boehner on the other hand, has everything to loose. My guess is he will not be the Speaker of the house for more than a few months maybe a year at most and there is nothing he can do to save his job.I believe he will allow force the country into default, he really has no choice, the Tea Party arm of his caucus has tied his hands. I believe will eventually see a deal perhaps in November or December, probably before the end of the year, but not before the damage is done. If this happens, I believe the Democratic Party will gain control of the House of Representatives, they will gain a filibuster proof super majority in the Senate and lay the ground work for another slaughtering in 2016. So, as my title says, “Please Mr Speaker, by all means, proceed.”.